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Panthers at Eagles

NFL · Sunday, Oct 18 · 12:00 PM CT · Lincoln Financial Field · Final CAR 25 – PHI 14
← NFL / Oct 18

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
CAR3731225
PHI070714
Team box
CAR·PHI
399
total yards
222
273
passing yards
187
126
rushing yards
35
25
first downs
17
7-17
third downs
6-15
0
turnovers
0
34:48
time of possession
25:12
Passing
PlayerTeamC/ATTYDSTDINT
Bryce YoungCAR20/3928120
Tanner McKeePHI26/4521510
Rushing
PlayerTeamCARYDSTD
Chuba HubbardCAR281201
Dameon PiercePHI12351
Receiving
PlayerTeamRECYDSTD
Jalen CokerCAR6970
DeVonta SmithPHI7751

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
PHI +12
CAR +12
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: PHI 0 · CAR 12lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was CAR 52%, PHI 48% · Updated Oct 18

Expected margin
PHI by 4.4
Expected score
PHI 24.6 – 20.2 CAR
Expected total
44.9
PanthersThe matchupEagles
−109Our fair odds+109
20.2Expected points24.6
−0.16Power rating+0.11
30.2Points / game18.4
27.2Allowed / game22.4
406Total yards / game262
6.1Yards / play4.6
301Passing yards / game171
2−2Season record2−3
4−6Last 105−5

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
CAR chance · PHI chance
Our model fair52.1%47.9%
Kalshi60.7%43.7%
Polymarket US60.4%43.2%
ProphetX59.5%43.2%
Novig59.0%41.5%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 12:00 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 11:59 AM CTProphetXpre-game · 11:58 AM CTNovigpre-game · 11:51 AM CT
Moneyline
CARCarolina Panthers−10952%−15460.7%−15360.4%−14759.5%−14459.0%
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles+10948%+12943.7%+13243.2%+13243.2%+14141.5%
SpreadPHI by 4.4
CARCarolina Panthers+4.4our margin−2.5 −12655.7%−2.5 −12655.7%−2.5 −11854.2%−2.5 −12054.5%
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles−4.4our margin+2.5 +10548.7%+2.5 +10748.2%+2.5 +10748.2%+2.5 +11546.5%
Totalwe expect 44.9
Over44.9our totalo39.5 −11252.7%o39.5 −10952.2%o39.5 −10852.0%o39.5 −10250.5%
Under44.9our totalu39.5 −10751.8%u39.5 −10751.7%u39.5 −10250.5%u39.5 +10050.0%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Philadelphia Eagles by 4.4 expected
Carolina Panthers by 44 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 43 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 42 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 41 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 40 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 39 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 38 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 37 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 36 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 35 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 34 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 33 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 32 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 31 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 30 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 29 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 28 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 27 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 26 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 25 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 24 points: 1%Carolina Panthers by 23 points: 1%Carolina Panthers by 22 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 21 points: 1%Carolina Panthers by 20 points: 1%Carolina Panthers by 19 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 18 points: 1%Carolina Panthers by 17 points: 1%Carolina Panthers by 16 points: 1%Carolina Panthers by 15 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 14 points: 2%Carolina Panthers by 13 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 12 points: 1%Carolina Panthers by 11 points: 1%Carolina Panthers by 10 points: 2%Carolina Panthers by 9 points: <1%Carolina Panthers by 8 points: 2%Carolina Panthers by 7 points: 4%Carolina Panthers by 6 points: 3%Carolina Panthers by 5 points: 2%Carolina Panthers by 4 points: 3%Carolina Panthers by 3 points: 7%Carolina Panthers by 2 points: 2%Carolina Panthers by 1 point: 3%Tie: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 2 points: 3%Philadelphia Eagles by 3 points: 7%Philadelphia Eagles by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 6 points: 4%Philadelphia Eagles by 7 points: 4%Philadelphia Eagles by 8 points: 3%Philadelphia Eagles by 9 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 11 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 12 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 13 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 14 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 17 points: 3%Philadelphia Eagles by 18 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 19 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 22 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 24 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 25 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 26 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 27 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 28 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 31 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 34 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 38 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 39 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 40 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 41 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 42 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 43 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 44 points: <1%
← CAR wins byPHI wins by →
Philadelphia Eagles wins by 3 or more55%
Philadelphia Eagles wins by 7 or more40%
Philadelphia Eagles wins by 10 or more31%
Within 3 points either way24%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

44.9 expected
11 points: <1%12 points: <1%13 points: <1%14 points: <1%15 points: <1%16 points: <1%17 points: <1%18 points: <1%19 points: 1%20 points: 1%21 points: 1%22 points: 1%23 points: 1%24 points: 1%25 points: 1%26 points: 1%27 points: 1%28 points: 1%29 points: 2%30 points: 2%31 points: 2%32 points: 2%33 points: 2%34 points: 2%35 points: 2%36 points: 3%37 points: 3%38 points: 2%39 points: 3%40 points: 3%41 points: 3%42 points: 3%43 points: 3%44 points: 3%45 points: 3%46 points: 3%47 points: 3%48 points: 3%49 points: 2%50 points: 2%51 points: 3%52 points: 2%53 points: 2%54 points: 2%55 points: 2%56 points: 2%57 points: 2%58 points: 2%59 points: 1%60 points: 1%61 points: 1%62 points: 1%63 points: 1%64 points: 1%65 points: 1%66 points: 1%67 points: 1%68 points: 1%69 points: 1%70 points: 1%71 points: 1%72 points: <1%73 points: <1%74 points: <1%75 points: <1%76 points: <1%77 points: <1%78 points: <1%79 points: <1%80 points: <1%81 points: <1%82 points: <1%83 points: <1%84 points: <1%85 points: <1%86 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 37.569%
Total over 44.548%
Total over 51.530%
Total from 38 to 5139%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Starting QBs

from the box score
CARBryce Young · last 3 games: 62% completions, 302 yds/game, 6 TD, 1 INTstarted
PHITanner McKee · last 3 games: 61% completions, 181 yds/game, 3 TD, 1 INTstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
CAR·PHI
Oct 4 vs DET
last game
Oct 11 at JAX
13 days
days of rest
6 days
road after a home game
home / road
home after a road game

For context, not in our forecast.

Weather

forecast for kickoff · NWS
temp55°F · sunny
wind5 mph N
rain0% chance

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Inactives · Oct 18, 2026, 11:30 AM CT
Carolina Panthers
CARAJ Dillon · ankleInactive
CARAlbert Reese IV · coach's decisionInactive
CARHaynes King · coach's decisionInactive
CARJa'Tavion Sanders · coach's decisionInactive
CARMonroe Freeling · kneeInactive
CARTeRah Edwards · coach's decisionInactive
CARTorricelli Simpkins III · coach's decisionInactive
Philadelphia Eagles
PHIAJ Epenesa · backInactive
PHIHollywood Brown · coach's decisionInactive
PHIJalyx Hunt · ankleInactive
PHIJoe Milton III · coach's decisionInactive
PHIMichael Carter II · abdomenInactive
PHISaquon Barkley · hamstringInactive

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026 season · box-score averages from 4+ games
CAR·PHI
−0.16
rating (0 = average)
+0.11
30.2
points / game
18.4
27.2
points allowed / game
22.4
2−2
season record
2−3
1−1
home record
1−1
1−1
away record
1−2
W1
streak
L3
4−6
last 10
5−5
406
total yards / game
262
6.1
yards / play
4.6
301
passing yards / game
171
104
rushing yards / game
92
23.5
first downs / game
14.4
1.0
turnovers / game
1.0

Rating Trend

CAR · PHI · 18 days
Carolina PanthersPhiladelphia Eagles
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 2 meetings · PHI 2−0
Dec 8, 2024at PHIPHI 22 − 16
Oct 10, 2021at CARPHI 21 − 18

CAR · Last 10

4−6 · streak W1
Oct 4vs DET32 − 26W
Sep 27at CLE18 − 21L
Sep 20at ATL34 − 3W
Sep 13vs CHI37 − 59L
Jan 10vs LAR31 − 34L
Jan 3at TB14 − 16L
Dec 28, 2025vs SEA10 − 27L
Dec 21, 2025vs TB23 − 20W
Dec 14, 2025at NO17 − 20L
Nov 30, 2025vs LAR31 − 28W

PHI · Last 10

5−5 · streak L3
Oct 11at JAX17 − 19L
Oct 4vs LAR20 − 24L
Sep 28at CHI7 − 27L
Sep 20at TEN24 − 20W
Sep 13vs WSH24 − 22W
Jan 11vs SF19 − 23L
Jan 4vs WSH17 − 24L
Dec 28, 2025at BUF13 − 12W
Dec 20, 2025at WSH29 − 18W
Dec 14, 2025vs LV31 − 0W