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Cardinals at Seahawks

NFL · Sunday, Nov 8 · 3:25 PM CT · Lumen Field · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NFL / Nov 8

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
SEA by 15.1
Expected score
SEA 31.3 – 16.2 ARI
Expected total
47.5
CardinalsThe matchupSeahawks
+584Our fair odds−584
16.2Expected points31.3
−0.67Power rating+0.84
20.3Points / game24.0
29.7Allowed / game17.9
314Total yards / game343
4.5Yards / play5.4
218Passing yards / game230
2−5Season record4−3
2−8Last 107−3
Jon Gaines II G · Tip Reiman TE
Walter Nolen III DT · Chase Bisontis G
Hunter Long TEOut (5 each)Terrion Arnold CB · Bud Clark S
Elijah Arroyo TE · Jadarian Price RB
Jake Bobo WR

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
ARI chance · SEA chance
Our model fair14.6%85.4%
Kalshi15.9%87.8%
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi6:02 AM CTPolymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
ARIArizona Cardinals+58415%+52915.9%———
SEASeattle Seahawks−58485%−71987.8%———
SpreadSEA by 15.1
ARIArizona Cardinals+15.1our margin————
SEASeattle Seahawks−15.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 47.5
Over47.5our total————
Under47.5our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Seattle Seahawks by 15.1 expected
Arizona Cardinals by 49 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 48 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 47 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 46 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 45 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 44 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 43 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 42 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 41 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 40 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 39 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 38 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 37 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 36 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 35 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 34 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 33 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 32 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 31 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 30 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 29 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 28 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 27 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 26 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 25 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 24 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 23 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 22 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 21 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 20 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 19 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 18 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 17 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 16 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 15 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 14 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 13 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 12 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 11 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 10 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 9 points: <1%Arizona Cardinals by 8 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 7 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 6 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 5 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 4 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 3 points: 4%Arizona Cardinals by 2 points: 1%Arizona Cardinals by 1 point: 1%Tie: <1%Seattle Seahawks by 1 point: 1%Seattle Seahawks by 2 points: 2%Seattle Seahawks by 3 points: 5%Seattle Seahawks by 4 points: 2%Seattle Seahawks by 5 points: 2%Seattle Seahawks by 6 points: 4%Seattle Seahawks by 7 points: 4%Seattle Seahawks by 8 points: 3%Seattle Seahawks by 9 points: 1%Seattle Seahawks by 10 points: 2%Seattle Seahawks by 11 points: 1%Seattle Seahawks by 12 points: 2%Seattle Seahawks by 13 points: 2%Seattle Seahawks by 14 points: 3%Seattle Seahawks by 15 points: 2%Seattle Seahawks by 16 points: 2%Seattle Seahawks by 17 points: 5%Seattle Seahawks by 18 points: 3%Seattle Seahawks by 19 points: 1%Seattle Seahawks by 20 points: 2%Seattle Seahawks by 21 points: 3%Seattle Seahawks by 22 points: 2%Seattle Seahawks by 23 points: 2%Seattle Seahawks by 24 points: 4%Seattle Seahawks by 25 points: 2%Seattle Seahawks by 26 points: 2%Seattle Seahawks by 27 points: 1%Seattle Seahawks by 28 points: 2%Seattle Seahawks by 29 points: 1%Seattle Seahawks by 30 points: 1%Seattle Seahawks by 31 points: 3%Seattle Seahawks by 32 points: 1%Seattle Seahawks by 33 points: <1%Seattle Seahawks by 34 points: 2%Seattle Seahawks by 35 points: 1%Seattle Seahawks by 36 points: 1%Seattle Seahawks by 37 points: 1%Seattle Seahawks by 38 points: 1%Seattle Seahawks by 39 points: <1%Seattle Seahawks by 40 points: 1%Seattle Seahawks by 41 points: 1%Seattle Seahawks by 42 points: 1%Seattle Seahawks by 43 points: <1%Seattle Seahawks by 44 points: <1%Seattle Seahawks by 45 points: <1%Seattle Seahawks by 46 points: <1%Seattle Seahawks by 47 points: <1%Seattle Seahawks by 48 points: <1%Seattle Seahawks by 49 points: <1%
← ARI wins bySEA wins by →
Seattle Seahawks wins by 3 or more82%
Seattle Seahawks wins by 7 or more69%
Seattle Seahawks wins by 10 or more61%
Within 3 points either way15%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

47.5 expected
13 points: <1%14 points: <1%15 points: <1%16 points: <1%17 points: <1%18 points: <1%19 points: <1%20 points: <1%21 points: <1%22 points: 1%23 points: 1%24 points: 1%25 points: 1%26 points: 1%27 points: 1%28 points: 1%29 points: 1%30 points: 2%31 points: 1%32 points: 2%33 points: 2%34 points: 2%35 points: 2%36 points: 2%37 points: 3%38 points: 2%39 points: 2%40 points: 3%41 points: 3%42 points: 2%43 points: 3%44 points: 3%45 points: 3%46 points: 3%47 points: 3%48 points: 3%49 points: 3%50 points: 2%51 points: 3%52 points: 2%53 points: 2%54 points: 2%55 points: 2%56 points: 2%57 points: 2%58 points: 2%59 points: 2%60 points: 2%61 points: 2%62 points: 1%63 points: 1%64 points: 1%65 points: 1%66 points: 1%67 points: 1%68 points: 1%69 points: 1%70 points: 1%71 points: 1%72 points: 1%73 points: 1%74 points: 1%75 points: 1%76 points: <1%77 points: <1%78 points: <1%79 points: <1%80 points: <1%81 points: <1%82 points: <1%83 points: <1%84 points: <1%85 points: <1%86 points: <1%87 points: <1%88 points: <1%89 points: <1%90 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 40.567%
Total over 47.547%
Total over 54.530%
Total from 41 to 5437%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Probable Starting QBs

as announced
ARIJacoby Brissett · last 3 games: 62% completions, 261 yds/game, 4 TD, 2 INTdepth chart
SEASam Darnold · last 3 games: 60% completions, 243 yds/game, 2 TD, 5 INTdepth chart

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
ARI·SEA
Oct 25 vs DEN
last game
Oct 25 vs KC
13 days
days of rest
13 days
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
Arizona Cardinals
ARIJon Gaines II G · ankle, back about Nov 8Out
ARITip Reiman TE · right ankleOut
ARIWalter Nolen III DT · ankle, back about Nov 8Out
ARIAndrew Wingard S · knee bruiseQuestionable
ARIHjalte Froholdt C · kneeQuestionable
ARIJosh Minkins SQuestionable
ARIMax Melton CB · kneeQuestionable
ARIXavier Weaver WRQuestionable
ARIChase Bisontis G · left knee - mcl surgery, back about Feb 15, 2027IR
ARIHunter Long TE · knee, back about Nov 8IR
and 9 more
Seattle Seahawks
SEATerrion Arnold CB · personalOut
SEACharles Cross OT · ankle sprainDoubtful
SEAAnthony Bradford G · kneeQuestionable
SEAChazz Surratt LB · calfQuestionable
SEAConnor O'Toole LB · hamstringQuestionable
SEADrake Thomas LB · ankleQuestionable
SEADrew Lock QB · right elbowQuestionable
SEALeonard Williams DT · achillesQuestionable
SEAPatrick O'Connell LB · toeQuestionable
SEARashid Shaheed WR · kneeQuestionable
and 11 more

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
ARI·SEA
−0.67
rating (0 = average)
+0.84
20.3
points / game
24.0
29.7
points allowed / game
17.9
2−5
season record
4−3
0−3
home record
3−1
2−2
away record
1−2
L1
streak
W1
2−8
last 10
7−3
314
total yards / game
343
4.5
yards / play
5.4
218
passing yards / game
230
96
rushing yards / game
114
20.7
first downs / game
20.7
0.9
turnovers / game
1.9

Rating Trend

ARI · SEA · 30 days
Arizona CardinalsSeattle Seahawks
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · SEA 10−0
Sep 20at ARISEA 31 − 7
Nov 9, 2025at SEASEA 44 − 22
Sep 25, 2025at ARISEA 23 − 20
Dec 8, 2024at ARISEA 30 − 18
Nov 24, 2024at SEASEA 16 − 6
Jan 7, 2024at ARISEA 21 − 20
Oct 22, 2023at SEASEA 20 − 10
Nov 6, 2022at ARISEA 31 − 21
Oct 16, 2022at SEASEA 19 − 9
Jan 9, 2022at ARISEA 38 − 30

ARI · Last 10

2−8 · streak L1
Oct 25vs DEN16 − 30L
Oct 18at LAR18 − 16W
Oct 11vs DET21 − 45L
Oct 4at NYG24 − 36L
Sep 27at SF30 − 36L
Sep 20vs SEA7 − 31L
Sep 13at LAC26 − 14W
Jan 4at LAR20 − 37L
Dec 28, 2025at CIN14 − 37L
Dec 21, 2025vs ATL19 − 26L

SEA · Last 10

7−3 · streak W1
Oct 25vs KC20 − 3W
Oct 15at DEN14 − 17L
Oct 11vs SF29 − 32L
Oct 4vs LAC30 − 23W
Sep 27at WSH31 − 33L
Sep 20at ARI31 − 7W
Sep 9vs NE13 − 10W
Feb 8at NE29 − 13W
Jan 25vs LAR31 − 27W
Jan 17vs SF41 − 6W