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Cowboys at Packers

NFL · Sunday, Oct 18 · 7:20 PM CT · Lambeau Field · Final DAL 13 – GB 23
← NFL / Oct 18

Final Box Score

from the game summary
Team1234T
DAL007613
GB7103323
Team box
DAL·GB
303
total yards
318
255
passing yards
261
48
rushing yards
57
24
first downs
20
5-13
third downs
11-18
2
turnovers
1
29:09
time of possession
30:51
Passing
PlayerTeamC/ATTYDSTDINT
Dak PrescottDAL34/5425812
Jordan LoveGB23/4127611
Rushing
PlayerTeamCARYDSTD
Javonte WilliamsDAL11411
Pierre Strong Jr.GB11280
Receiving
PlayerTeamRECYDSTD
George PickensDAL6730
Matthew GoldenGB61041

For context, not in our forecast.

Game Flow

score margin
GB +17
DAL +17
Q1Q2Q3Q4
largest lead: GB 17 · DAL 0lead changes: 0

For context, not in our forecast.

Final · our forecast was DAL 47%, GB 53% · Updated Oct 18

Expected margin
GB by 0.2
Expected score
GB 27.0 – 26.8 DAL
Expected total
53.8
CowboysThe matchupPackers
+115Our fair odds−115
26.8Expected points27.0
−0.26Power rating+0.17
27.6Points / game20.8
27.2Allowed / game22.4
351Total yards / game331
5.8Yards / play5.6
270Passing yards / game271
2−3Season record3−2
3−7Last 103−7

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
DAL chance · GB chance
Our model fair46.6%53.4%
Kalshi53.7%51.7%
Polymarket US53.0%50.7%
ProphetX52.9%49.6%
Novig52.0%48.5%
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshipre-game · 7:20 PM CTPolymarket USpre-game · 7:18 PM CTProphetXpre-game · 7:19 PM CTNovigpre-game · 7:18 PM CT
Moneyline
DALDallas Cowboys+11547%−11653.7%−11353.0%−11252.9%−10852.0%
GBGreen Bay Packers−11553%−10751.8%−10350.7%+10249.6%+10648.5%
SpreadGB by 0.2
DALDallas Cowboys+0.2our margin−1.5 −10350.7%−1.5 −10350.7%−1.5 −10050.0%−1.5 +10449.0%
GBGreen Bay Packers−0.2our margin+1.5 −11653.7%+1.5 −11453.2%+1.5 −11152.7%+1.5 −10651.5%
Totalwe expect 53.8
Over53.8our totalo53.5 −11653.7%o53.5 −11653.7%o53.5 −11252.9%o53.5 −10651.5%
Under53.8our totalu53.5 −10350.7%u53.5 −10150.2%u53.5 +10149.8%u53.5 +10449.0%

These are each venue’s last prices before the start (Kalshi’s moneyline: its pre-game close). Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

Green Bay Packers by 0.2 expected
Dallas Cowboys by 39 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 38 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 37 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 36 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 35 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 34 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 33 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 32 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 31 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 30 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 29 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 28 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 27 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 26 points: <1%Dallas Cowboys by 25 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 24 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 23 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 22 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 21 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 20 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 19 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 18 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 17 points: 2%Dallas Cowboys by 16 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 15 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 14 points: 3%Dallas Cowboys by 13 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 12 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 11 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 10 points: 3%Dallas Cowboys by 9 points: 1%Dallas Cowboys by 8 points: 2%Dallas Cowboys by 7 points: 5%Dallas Cowboys by 6 points: 3%Dallas Cowboys by 5 points: 3%Dallas Cowboys by 4 points: 3%Dallas Cowboys by 3 points: 9%Dallas Cowboys by 2 points: 2%Dallas Cowboys by 1 point: 3%Tie: <1%Green Bay Packers by 1 point: 2%Green Bay Packers by 2 points: 3%Green Bay Packers by 3 points: 7%Green Bay Packers by 4 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 5 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 6 points: 4%Green Bay Packers by 7 points: 4%Green Bay Packers by 8 points: 3%Green Bay Packers by 9 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 10 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 11 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 12 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 13 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 14 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 15 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 16 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 17 points: 2%Green Bay Packers by 18 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 19 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 20 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 21 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 22 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 23 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 24 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 25 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 26 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 27 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 28 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 29 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 30 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 31 points: 1%Green Bay Packers by 32 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 33 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 34 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 35 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 36 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 37 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 38 points: <1%Green Bay Packers by 39 points: <1%
← DAL wins byGB wins by →
Green Bay Packers wins by 3 or more43%
Green Bay Packers wins by 7 or more28%
Green Bay Packers wins by 10 or more20%
Within 3 points either way27%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

53.8 expected
18 points: <1%19 points: <1%20 points: <1%21 points: <1%22 points: <1%23 points: <1%24 points: <1%25 points: <1%26 points: 1%27 points: 1%28 points: 1%29 points: 1%30 points: 1%31 points: 1%32 points: 1%33 points: 1%34 points: 1%35 points: 1%36 points: 1%37 points: 2%38 points: 2%39 points: 2%40 points: 2%41 points: 2%42 points: 2%43 points: 3%44 points: 3%45 points: 2%46 points: 3%47 points: 3%48 points: 3%49 points: 2%50 points: 2%51 points: 3%52 points: 2%53 points: 2%54 points: 2%55 points: 2%56 points: 2%57 points: 3%58 points: 2%59 points: 2%60 points: 2%61 points: 2%62 points: 2%63 points: 2%64 points: 2%65 points: 2%66 points: 2%67 points: 1%68 points: 2%69 points: 1%70 points: 1%71 points: 1%72 points: 1%73 points: 1%74 points: 1%75 points: 1%76 points: 1%77 points: 1%78 points: 1%79 points: 1%80 points: 1%81 points: 1%82 points: <1%83 points: <1%84 points: <1%85 points: <1%86 points: <1%87 points: <1%88 points: <1%89 points: <1%90 points: <1%91 points: <1%92 points: <1%93 points: <1%94 points: <1%95 points: <1%96 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 46.566%
Total over 53.549%
Total over 60.532%
Total from 47 to 6034%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Starting QBs

from the box score
DALDak Prescott · last 3 games: 64% completions, 309 yds/game, 3 TD, 2 INTstarted
GBJordan Love · last 3 games: 66% completions, 292 yds/game, 6 TD, 2 INTstarted

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
DAL·GB
Oct 8 vs TB
last game
Oct 11 vs CHI
9 days
days of rest
6 days
road after a home game
home / road
2nd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Weather

forecast for kickoff · NWS
temp57°F · clear
wind9 mph SSW
rain0% chance

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Inactives · Oct 18, 2026, 6:50 PM CT
Dallas Cowboys
DALAlijah Clark · coach's decisionInactive
DALCamden Brown · coach's decisionInactive
DALCobie Durant · hamstringInactive
DALDeMarvion Overshown · hamstringInactive
DALDrew Shelton · hamstringInactive
DALEmari Demercado · coach's decisionInactive
DALJames Houston · coach's decisionInactive
Green Bay Packers
GBAaron Banks · toeInactive
GBBenjamin St-Juste · hamstringInactive
GBDonovan Jennings · coach's decisionInactive
GBJager Burton · coach's decisionInactive

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026 season · box-score averages from 5+ games
DAL·GB
−0.26
rating (0 = average)
+0.17
27.6
points / game
20.8
27.2
points allowed / game
22.4
2−3
season record
3−2
1−2
home record
1−1
1−1
away record
2−1
L1
streak
W2
3−7
last 10
3−7
351
total yards / game
331
5.8
yards / play
5.6
270
passing yards / game
271
82
rushing yards / game
60
23.2
first downs / game
17.2
1.0
turnovers / game
1.2

Rating Trend

DAL · GB · 18 days
Dallas CowboysGreen Bay Packers
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 3 meetings · GB 3−0
Sep 28, 2025at DALGB 40 − 40
Jan 14, 2024at DALGB 48 − 32post
Nov 13, 2022at GBGB 31 − 28

DAL · Last 10

3−7 · streak L1
Oct 8vs TB16 − 24L
Oct 4at HOU34 − 30W
Sep 27vs BAL31 − 34L
Sep 20vs WSH37 − 20W
Sep 13at NYG20 − 28L
Jan 4at NYG17 − 34L
Dec 25, 2025at WSH30 − 23W
Dec 21, 2025vs LAC17 − 34L
Dec 14, 2025vs MIN26 − 34L
Dec 4, 2025at DET30 − 44L

GB · Last 10

3−7 · streak W2
Oct 11vs CHI31 − 7W
Oct 4at TB17 − 14W
Sep 24vs ATL14 − 35L
Sep 20at NYJ20 − 17W
Sep 13at MIN22 − 39L
Jan 10at CHI27 − 31L
Jan 4at MIN3 − 16L
Dec 27, 2025vs BAL24 − 41L
Dec 20, 2025at CHI16 − 22L
Dec 14, 2025at DEN26 − 34L