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Giants at Eagles

NFL · Sunday, Nov 8 · 12:00 PM CT · Lincoln Financial Field · early forecast

Early forecast: it updates each morning until game day, when it is locked in and graded.

← NFL / Nov 8

Chance to win, from our model · Updated Oct 30

Expected margin
NYG by 2.1
Expected score
NYG 21.9 – 19.7 PHI
Expected total
41.6
GiantsThe matchupEagles
−126Our fair odds+126
21.9Expected points19.7
−0.19Power rating−0.15
23.3Points / game18.1
23.0Allowed / game25.0
346Total yards / game265
5.2Yards / play4.5
229Passing yards / game177
4−2−1Season record2−5
6−3−1Last 103−7
Braxton Berrios WR · Brian Burns LB
Calvin Austin III WR · Chauncey Golston DE
Gunner Olszewski WROut (5 each)Britain Covey WR · DeVonta Smith WR
Dontayvion Wicks WR · Jihaad Campbell LB
Jonathan Jones CB

Prediction markets

Kalshi · Polymarket US · ProphetX · Novig
NYG chance · PHI chance
Our model fair55.7%44.3%
Kalshi59.7%49.7%
Polymarket USno two-sided price
ProphetXno two-sided price
Novigno two-sided price
Full price table
TeamOur modelfairKalshi6:01 AM CTPolymarket US ProphetX Novig 
Moneyline
NYGNew York Giants−12656%−14859.7%———
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles+12644%+10149.7%———
SpreadNYG by 2.1
NYGNew York Giants−2.1our margin————
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles+2.1our margin————
Totalwe expect 41.6
Over41.6our total————
Under41.6our total————

Odds are the price to buy that side now, taker fee included; the small percent is the implied chance of that same price. Highlighted is the best price in the row among venues on the same line. — means not listed (hover or tap for why). A market price is not the true chance of winning.

Margin range

New York Giants by 2.1 expected
New York Giants by 38 points: <1%New York Giants by 37 points: <1%New York Giants by 36 points: <1%New York Giants by 35 points: <1%New York Giants by 34 points: <1%New York Giants by 33 points: <1%New York Giants by 32 points: <1%New York Giants by 31 points: <1%New York Giants by 30 points: <1%New York Giants by 29 points: <1%New York Giants by 28 points: 1%New York Giants by 27 points: <1%New York Giants by 26 points: <1%New York Giants by 25 points: 1%New York Giants by 24 points: 1%New York Giants by 23 points: 1%New York Giants by 22 points: 1%New York Giants by 21 points: 1%New York Giants by 20 points: 1%New York Giants by 19 points: 1%New York Giants by 18 points: 1%New York Giants by 17 points: 2%New York Giants by 16 points: 1%New York Giants by 15 points: 1%New York Giants by 14 points: 3%New York Giants by 13 points: 1%New York Giants by 12 points: 1%New York Giants by 11 points: 1%New York Giants by 10 points: 3%New York Giants by 9 points: 1%New York Giants by 8 points: 2%New York Giants by 7 points: 5%New York Giants by 6 points: 4%New York Giants by 5 points: 3%New York Giants by 4 points: 3%New York Giants by 3 points: 9%New York Giants by 2 points: 2%New York Giants by 1 point: 3%Tie: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 1 point: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 2 points: 3%Philadelphia Eagles by 3 points: 7%Philadelphia Eagles by 4 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 5 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 6 points: 4%Philadelphia Eagles by 7 points: 3%Philadelphia Eagles by 8 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 9 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 10 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 11 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 12 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 13 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 14 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 15 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 16 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 17 points: 2%Philadelphia Eagles by 18 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 19 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 20 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 21 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 22 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 23 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 24 points: 1%Philadelphia Eagles by 25 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 26 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 27 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 28 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 29 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 30 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 31 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 32 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 33 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 34 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 35 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 36 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 37 points: <1%Philadelphia Eagles by 38 points: <1%
← NYG wins byPHI wins by →
New York Giants wins by 3 or more52%
New York Giants wins by 7 or more34%
New York Giants wins by 10 or more26%
Within 3 points either way27%

Centered on the expected margin above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Total range

41.6 expected
8 points: <1%9 points: <1%10 points: <1%11 points: <1%12 points: <1%13 points: <1%14 points: <1%15 points: <1%16 points: 1%17 points: 1%18 points: <1%19 points: 1%20 points: 1%21 points: 1%22 points: 1%23 points: 1%24 points: 1%25 points: 1%26 points: 2%27 points: 2%28 points: 2%29 points: 2%30 points: 2%31 points: 2%32 points: 2%33 points: 3%34 points: 3%35 points: 3%36 points: 3%37 points: 3%38 points: 3%39 points: 3%40 points: 3%41 points: 3%42 points: 3%43 points: 3%44 points: 3%45 points: 3%46 points: 3%47 points: 3%48 points: 3%49 points: 2%50 points: 2%51 points: 2%52 points: 2%53 points: 2%54 points: 2%55 points: 2%56 points: 1%57 points: 2%58 points: 1%59 points: 1%60 points: 1%61 points: 1%62 points: 1%63 points: 1%64 points: 1%65 points: 1%66 points: 1%67 points: <1%68 points: <1%69 points: <1%70 points: <1%71 points: <1%72 points: <1%73 points: <1%74 points: <1%75 points: <1%76 points: <1%77 points: <1%78 points: <1%79 points: <1%80 points: <1%81 points: <1%
Total points, both teams
Total over 34.569%
Total over 41.548%
Total over 48.529%
Total from 35 to 4840%

Centered on the expected total above; shape from the real results of 1,401 past NFL games.

Probable Starting QBs

as announced
NYGJ.J. McCarthy · last 3 games: 62% completions, 226 yds/game, 1 TD, 1 INTdepth chart
PHITanner McKee · last 3 games: 58% completions, 222 yds/game, 3 TD, 2 INTdepth chart

For context, not in our forecast.

Rest and Schedule

before this game
NYG·PHI
Oct 25 at HOU
last game
Oct 26 vs DAL
13 days
days of rest
12 days
2nd straight road game
home / road
3rd straight home game

For context, not in our forecast.

Who's Out

Current team injury lists
New York Giants
NYGCam Skattebo RB · hamstring, back about Nov 8Questionable
NYGDJ James CBQuestionable
NYGGreg Newsome II CB · concussion, back about Nov 8Questionable
NYGJevon Holland S · concussion, back about Nov 8Questionable
NYGMarcus Mbow OT · knee, back about Nov 8Questionable
NYGTheo Johnson TE · neck, back about Nov 8Questionable
NYGBraxton Berrios WR · foot surgery, back about Feb 15, 2027IR
NYGBrian Burns LB · right knee - acl surgery, back about Feb 15, 2027IR
NYGCalvin Austin III WR · right knee, back about Feb 15, 2027IR
NYGChauncey Golston DE · neck, back about Nov 12IR
and 9 more
Philadelphia Eagles
PHIBritain Covey WR · knee, back about Nov 8Out
PHIDeVonta Smith WR · hamstring, back about Nov 8Out
PHIDontayvion Wicks WR · ankle, back about Nov 8Out
PHIJihaad Campbell LB · hamstring, back about Nov 8Out
PHIJonathan Jones CB · hamstring, back about Nov 8Out
PHILane Johnson OT · personal, back about Feb 15, 2027Out
PHITucker Large S · undisclosed, back about Feb 15, 2027Out
PHIChance Campbell LB · undisclosedQuestionable
PHITariq Castro-Fields CBQuestionable
PHIAndre' Sam S · left foot, back about Feb 15, 2027IR
and 6 more

For context, not in our forecast.

Team Comparison

2026 season · box-score averages from 7+ games
NYG·PHI
−0.19
rating (0 = average)
−0.15
23.3
points / game
18.1
23.0
points allowed / game
25.0
4−2−1
season record
2−5
3−1
home record
1−3
1−1−1
away record
1−2
W1
streak
L5
6−3−1
last 10
3−7
346
total yards / game
265
5.2
yards / play
4.5
229
passing yards / game
177
117
rushing yards / game
88
21.0
first downs / game
16.0
1.6
turnovers / game
0.9

Rating Trend

NYG · PHI · 30 days
New York GiantsPhiladelphia Eagles
Rating (0 = average team)

Head to Head

last 10 meetings · PHI 8−2
Oct 26, 2025at PHIPHI 38 − 20
Oct 9, 2025at NYGNYG 34 − 17
Jan 5, 2025at PHIPHI 20 − 13
Oct 20, 2024at NYGPHI 28 − 3
Jan 7, 2024at NYGNYG 27 − 10
Dec 25, 2023at PHIPHI 33 − 25
Jan 21, 2023at PHIPHI 38 − 7post
Jan 8, 2023at PHIPHI 22 − 16
Dec 11, 2022at NYGPHI 48 − 22
Dec 26, 2021at PHIPHI 34 − 10

NYG · Last 10

6−3−1 · streak W1
Oct 25at HOU27 − 21W
Oct 18vs NO27 − 34L
Oct 11at WSH27 − 27T
Oct 4vs ARI36 − 24W
Sep 27vs TEN12 − 7W
Sep 21at LAR6 − 28L
Sep 13vs DAL28 − 20W
Jan 4vs DAL34 − 17W
Dec 28, 2025at LV34 − 10W
Dec 21, 2025vs MIN13 − 16L

PHI · Last 10

3−7 · streak L5
Oct 26vs DAL21 − 38L
Oct 18vs CAR14 − 25L
Oct 11at JAX17 − 19L
Oct 4vs LAR20 − 24L
Sep 28at CHI7 − 27L
Sep 20at TEN24 − 20W
Sep 13vs WSH24 − 22W
Jan 11vs SF19 − 23L
Jan 4vs WSH17 − 24L
Dec 28, 2025at BUF13 − 12W